Original question by @[email protected]
It seems like a lot of professionals are thinking we will reach AGI within my lifetime. Some credible sources say within 5 years but who knows.
Either way I suspect it is inevitable. Who knows what may follow. Infinite wealth gap growth, mass job loss, post-work reforms, I’m not sure.
A bunch of questions bounce around in my head, examples may be:
- Will private property rights be honored in said future?
- Could Amish communities still exist?
- Is it something we can prepare for as individuals?
I figured it is important to talk about seeing as it will likely occur in my lifetime and many of yours.
I think it is inevitable. The main flaw I see from a lay perspective in current methodology is trying to make one neural network that does everything. Our own brains are composed of multiple neural networks with different jobs interacting with each other, so I assume that AGI will require this approach.
For example: we are currently struggling with LLM hallucinations. What could reduce this? A separate fact-checking neural network.
Please keep in mind that my opinion is almost worthless, but you asked.
Marketing tool. LLM’s are not magic no matter what people think
I’m more worried about jobs getting nuked no matter whatever AGI turns out to be. It can be vapourware and still the capitalist cult will sacrifice labour on that altar.
Not without a major breakthrough in knowledge representation.
LLMs aren’t it.
Why would AGI threaten the existence of the Amish and/or change laws regarding property rights?
I have no doubt software will achieve general intelligence, but I think the point where it does will be hard to define. Software can already outdo humans at lots of specific reasoning tasks where the problems are well defined. But how do you measure the generality of problems, so you can say last week our AI wasn’t general enough to call it AGI, but now it is?
The computer doesn’t even understand things nor asks questions unprompted. I don’t think people understand that it doesn’t understand, lol. Intelligence seems to be non-computational!
